Posted by
Stephen Ashby on Wednesday, December 06, 2006 3:17:32 PM
When one reads the executive summary of the Iraq Study Groups's Report,
you cannot help but wonder how such a group of accomplished and
distinguished people can exhibit such collective stupidity. Allow
me to cite one example to illustrate.
One of the major recommendations is that the US engage Iran and Syria
diplomatically to include them in finding a solution to the Iraq
problem. To support this, the summary actually makes the
statement, (and I am not making this up), that Syria and Iran have a
national interest in preventing chaos in Iraq. Let's just look
for a moment at Iran. Iran is under tremendous pressure from the
rest of world, led by the US, to halt their nuclear program. Part
of this pressure is the very real threat that the US could resort
military action or even invasion to back up its diplomatic full court
press. If the US could be inhibited from using its military
power, this would be a good thing for Iran. Accordingly, part of
their overall defense strategy is to keep the US military tied up in
Iraq, something they are actively doing by training and supplying
militias in Iraq that create the chaos we are now seeing. In
other words, the Iranian's actions suggest that their national interest
is just the opposite of what the Study Group assumes.
If the study group's assumptions about reality are wrong, then their
recommendations are probably flawed. Since John Kerry made this
same recommendation several weeks ago, I think it's safe to assume it's
horribly wrong.